← Explore · Market 1028586
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
72.5% implied · bid 72.0¢ · ask 73.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 72.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability72.0%
Bid / ask / mid72.0¢ / 73.0¢ / 72.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.4%)
Change 24h+2.00pt
Change 7d+3.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 16% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$351
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,776 / $5,139
Imbalance16% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score50.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.69
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.18pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 540d 2h.
Time to resolve540d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%