← Explore · Market 1028586
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
75.5% implied · bid 75.0¢ · ask 76.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 76.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability76.0%
Bid / ask / mid75.0¢ / 76.0¢ / 75.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.3%)
Change 24h+2.00pt
Change 7d+10.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 65/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 18% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,601
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,422 / $35,788
Imbalance18% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score64.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.57
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.32pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 494d 3h.
Time to resolve494d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%