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← Explore · Market 1067187

Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

0.9% implied · bid 0.5¢ · ask 1.2¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.5%, down 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.7¢ spread.

Implied probability0.5%
Bid / ask / mid0.5¢ / 1.2¢ / 0.9¢
Spread0.7¢ (82.4%)
Change 24h-0.05pt
Change 7d-0.30pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,818
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$30 / $177
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 14 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 3.6σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-3.61
RSI (14, hourly)14.3
Realized vol 7d0.04pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 127d 22h.

Time to resolve127d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth