← Explore · Market 1087310
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
5.3% implied · bid 4.9¢ · ask 5.6¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 4.9%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 0.7¢ spread.
Implied probability4.9%
Bid / ask / mid4.9¢ / 5.6¢ / 5.3¢
Spread0.7¢ (13.3%)
Change 24h-0.45pt
Change 7d-2.95pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$55
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$362 / $241
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.1σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.06
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.17pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%