← Explore · Market 1087311

Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?

6.0% implied · bid 5.0¢ · ask 7.0¢

The market prices this at 6.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability6.0%

Bid / ask / mid5.0¢ / 7.0¢ / 6.0¢

Spread2.0¢ (33.3%)

Change 24h-0.50pt

Change 7d-0.50pt

Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$20

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$158 / $101

Imbalance3% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score40.1 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 9.1σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-9.11

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.04pt

Change 1h-0.50pt

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%