← Explore · Market 1087312

Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?

6.6% implied · bid 5.4¢ · ask 7.8¢

The market prices this at 9.6%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 2.4¢ spread.

Implied probability9.6%

Bid / ask / mid5.4¢ / 7.8¢ / 6.6¢

Spread2.4¢ (36.4%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d-0.05pt

Thin (score 38/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$190 / $138

Imbalance6% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score38.2 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 15.2σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean15.24

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.21pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%