← Explore · Market 1088472
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
30.5% implied · bid 30.0¢ · ask 31.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 31.0%, down 3.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability31.0%
Bid / ask / mid30.0¢ / 31.0¢ / 30.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (3.3%)
Change 24h-3.00pt
Change 7d+19.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 94/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$31,042
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,899 / $95,342
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score94.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.63
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d1.38pt
Change 1h-1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 18d 23h.
Time to resolve18d 23h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%