← Explore · Market 1088473
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?
10.8% implied · bid 10.7¢ · ask 11.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 10.9%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.
Implied probability10.9%
Bid / ask / mid10.7¢ / 11.0¢ / 10.8¢
Spread0.3¢ (2.8%)
Change 24h+0.20pt
Change 7d+4.80pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 60/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$9,998
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$16,643 / $7,318
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score60.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 90 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.54
RSI (14, hourly)90.0
Realized vol 7d0.28pt
Change 1h+0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 18d 23h.
Time to resolve18d 23h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%