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← Explore · Market 1088476

Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?

7.4% implied · bid 7.4¢ · ask 7.5¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 7.4%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability7.4%
Bid / ask / mid7.4¢ / 7.5¢ / 7.4¢
Spread0.1¢ (1.3%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+2.05pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$21,104
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,674 / $1,111
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score51.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 75 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.80
RSI (14, hourly)75.0
Realized vol 7d0.32pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 18d 23h.

Time to resolve18d 23h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth