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← Explore · Market 1088479

Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's US Open?

0.1% implied · bid 0.0¢ · ask 0.1¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.7%, down 1.6pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.7%
Bid / ask / mid0.0¢ / 0.1¢ / 0.1¢
Spread0.1¢ (200.0%)
Change 24h-1.55pt
Change 7d-1.20pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$122,675
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $2,899
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)6
Liquidity score50.9 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.9σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.88
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.16pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 18d 20h.

Time to resolve18d 20h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth