← Explore · Market 1090496
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
26.5% implied · bid 26.0¢ · ask 27.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 26.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability26.0%
Bid / ask / mid26.0¢ / 27.0¢ / 26.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (3.8%)
Change 24h+2.00pt
Change 7d+3.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 55/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 33% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$42,179
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$8,969 / $10,973
Imbalance33% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score55.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 75 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.00
RSI (14, hourly)75.0
Realized vol 7d2.75pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 129d 3h.
Time to resolve129d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%