← Explore · Market 1105741

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

4.0% implied · bid 3.8¢ · ask 4.2¢

The market prices this at 3.8%, down 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.4¢ spread.

Implied probability3.8%

Bid / ask / mid3.8¢ / 4.2¢ / 4.0¢

Spread0.4¢ (10.0%)

Change 24h-0.15pt

Change 7d+0.80pt

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,429

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$932 / $1,013

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score49.0 / 100

RSI 44 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.08

RSI (14, hourly)44.4

Realized vol 7d0.11pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%