← Explore · Market 1105742
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
14.5% implied · bid 14.0¢ · ask 15.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 14.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability14.0%
Bid / ask / mid14.0¢ / 15.0¢ / 14.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (6.9%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+1.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$439
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,104 / $1,018
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.40
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.34pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 21h.
Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%