← Explore · Market 1105744

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

79.2% implied · bid 79.1¢ · ask 79.3¢

The market prices this at 79.2%, up 0.7pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability79.2%

Bid / ask / mid79.1¢ / 79.3¢ / 79.2¢

Spread0.2¢ (0.3%)

Change 24h+0.70pt

Change 7d-1.00pt

Deep and tight (score 83/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,194

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4,297 / $64,351

Imbalance2% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score83.3 / 100

RSI 55 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.38

RSI (14, hourly)54.5

Realized vol 7d0.30pt

Change 1h+0.10pt

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%