← Explore · Market 1105755

Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?

1.4% implied · bid 1.3¢ · ask 1.5¢

The market prices this at 1.3%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability1.3%

Bid / ask / mid1.3¢ / 1.5¢ / 1.4¢

Spread0.2¢ (14.3%)

Change 24h-0.05pt

Change 7d-0.40pt

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$224

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,367 / $137

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score50.3 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.36

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.08pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%