← Explore · Market 1124262
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4%?
4.5% implied · bid 3.1¢ · ask 5.8¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 2.1%, down 1.1pt over 24h, on a 2.7¢ spread.
Implied probability2.1%
Bid / ask / mid3.1¢ / 5.8¢ / 4.5¢
Spread2.7¢ (60.7%)
Change 24h-1.05pt
Change 7d-1.30pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 37/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$5
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$49 / $74
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score36.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 20 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.46
RSI (14, hourly)20.0
Realized vol 7d0.68pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 146d 22h.
Time to resolve146d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%