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← Explore · Market 1124264

Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7%?

5.4% implied · bid 5.1¢ · ask 5.7¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 6.7%, down 1.4pt over 24h, on a 0.6¢ spread.

Implied probability6.7%
Bid / ask / mid5.1¢ / 5.7¢ / 5.4¢
Spread0.6¢ (11.1%)
Change 24h-1.35pt
Change 7d-1.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$5
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$64 / $35
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.62
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.80pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 146d 22h.

Time to resolve146d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth