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← Explore · Market 1124265

Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?

66.3% implied · bid 66.2¢ · ask 66.3¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 66.3%, up 13.4pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability66.3%
Bid / ask / mid66.2¢ / 66.3¢ / 66.3¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.2%)
Change 24h+13.40pt
Change 7d+20.20pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,652
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$178 / $533
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.9 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 64 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.8σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.80
RSI (14, hourly)64.4
Realized vol 7d1.58pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 146d 22h.

Time to resolve146d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth