← Explore · Market 1125103
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
18.3% implied · bid 17.8¢ · ask 18.8¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 18.1%, down 0.4pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability18.1%
Bid / ask / mid17.8¢ / 18.8¢ / 18.3¢
Spread1.0¢ (5.5%)
Change 24h-0.40pt
Change 7d-0.60pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$810
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,797 / $977
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 35 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.99
RSI (14, hourly)35.3
Realized vol 7d0.12pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 25d 22h.
Time to resolve25d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%