← Explore · Market 1125104
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
37.5% implied · bid 37.0¢ · ask 38.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 37.0%, down 3.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability37.0%
Bid / ask / mid37.0¢ / 38.0¢ / 37.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.7%)
Change 24h-3.00pt
Change 7d+3.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,359
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$288 / $624
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.03
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.50pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 25d 22h.
Time to resolve25d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%