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← Explore · Market 1125105

Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

22.5% implied · bid 22.0¢ · ask 23.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 23.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability23.0%
Bid / ask / mid22.0¢ / 23.0¢ / 22.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (4.4%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$635
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,881 / $255
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.43
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.29pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 25d 22h.

Time to resolve25d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth