← Explore · Market 1125106
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
7.5% implied · bid 7.0¢ · ask 8.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 8.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability8.0%
Bid / ask / mid7.0¢ / 8.0¢ / 7.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (13.3%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d-5.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$462
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$162 / $75
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 33 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.90
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d0.37pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 25d 22h.
Time to resolve25d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%