← Explore · Market 1126851
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?
93.0% implied · bid 90.5¢ · ask 95.6¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 97.1%, down 0.3pt over 24h, on a 5.1¢ spread.
Implied probability97.1%
Bid / ask / mid90.5¢ / 95.6¢ / 93.0¢
Spread5.1¢ (5.5%)
Change 24h-0.25pt
Change 7d+1.30pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 42% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$314
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$105 / $378
Imbalance42% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score24.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 4 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.7σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean3.73
RSI (14, hourly)3.7
Realized vol 7d0.43pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 232d 21h.
Time to resolve232d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%