← Explore · Market 1126852
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?
64.5% implied · bid 52.0¢ · ask 77.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 73.0%, down 9.0pt over 24h, on a 25.0¢ spread.
Implied probability73.0%
Bid / ask / mid52.0¢ / 77.0¢ / 64.5¢
Spread25.0¢ (38.8%)
Change 24h-9.00pt
Change 7d-9.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 11% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance11% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 29 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.68
RSI (14, hourly)28.6
Realized vol 7d1.06pt
Change 1h+3.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 232d 21h.
Time to resolve232d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%