← Explore · Market 1126853
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?
38.5% implied · bid 33.0¢ · ask 44.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 45.0%, down 4.0pt over 24h, on a 11.0¢ spread.
Implied probability45.0%
Bid / ask / mid33.0¢ / 44.0¢ / 38.5¢
Spread11.0¢ (28.6%)
Change 24h-4.00pt
Change 7d-6.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$12
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.60
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d1.78pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 232d 21h.
Time to resolve232d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%