← Explore · Market 1126855
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026?
17.5% implied · bid 11.0¢ · ask 24.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 25.0%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 13.0¢ spread.
Implied probability25.0%
Bid / ask / mid11.0¢ / 24.0¢ / 17.5¢
Spread13.0¢ (74.3%)
Change 24h+1.50pt
Change 7d-0.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 55 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.1σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean3.12
RSI (14, hourly)54.5
Realized vol 7d0.88pt
Change 1h-1.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 232d 21h.
Time to resolve232d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%