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← Explore · Market 1129894

Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

96.0% implied · bid 95.9¢ · ask 96.2¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 96.3%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability96.3%
Bid / ask / mid95.9¢ / 96.2¢ / 96.0¢
Spread0.3¢ (0.3%)
Change 24h+0.15pt
Change 7d+1.30pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 99/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 38% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$660
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$31,209 / $136,132
Imbalance38% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score98.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.71
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.13pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 81d 21h.

Time to resolve81d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth