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← Explore · Market 1129894

Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

98.8% implied · bid 98.7¢ · ask 98.8¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 98.6%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability98.6%
Bid / ask / mid98.7¢ / 98.8¢ / 98.8¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)
Change 24h-0.10pt
Change 7d+0.25pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 100/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 19% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,407
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$49,199 / $676,075
Imbalance19% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score99.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 40 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.23
RSI (14, hourly)40.0
Realized vol 7d0.04pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 35d 22h.

Time to resolve35d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth