← Explore · Market 1129894
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
96.0% implied · bid 95.9¢ · ask 96.2¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 96.3%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.
Implied probability96.3%
Bid / ask / mid95.9¢ / 96.2¢ / 96.0¢
Spread0.3¢ (0.3%)
Change 24h+0.15pt
Change 7d+1.30pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 99/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 38% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$660
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$31,209 / $136,132
Imbalance38% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score98.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.71
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.13pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 81d 21h.
Time to resolve81d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%