← Explore · Market 1129896
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
0.5% implied · bid 0.3¢ · ask 0.7¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 0.4%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.4¢ spread.
Implied probability0.4%
Bid / ask / mid0.3¢ / 0.7¢ / 0.5¢
Spread0.4¢ (80.0%)
Change 24h-0.15pt
Change 7d-0.55pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$11
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$78 / $105
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score48.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.54
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.03pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 81d 21h.
Time to resolve81d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%