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← Explore · Market 1129896

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

0.5% implied · bid 0.3¢ · ask 0.7¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.4%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.4¢ spread.

Implied probability0.4%
Bid / ask / mid0.3¢ / 0.7¢ / 0.5¢
Spread0.4¢ (80.0%)
Change 24h-0.15pt
Change 7d-0.55pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$11
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$78 / $105
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score48.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.54
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.03pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 81d 21h.

Time to resolve81d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth