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← Explore · Market 1129900

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

0.4% implied · bid 0.2¢ · ask 0.5¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.2%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability0.2%
Bid / ask / mid0.2¢ / 0.5¢ / 0.4¢
Spread0.3¢ (85.7%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,481
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$34 / $306
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score48.7 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 5.3σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-5.26
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.01pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 35d 22h.

Time to resolve35d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth