a Refacto tool
AdvertisementYour banner here · 728 × 90 · ads@refacto.app

← Explore · Market 1129900

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

0.3% implied · bid 0.2¢ · ask 0.3¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.2%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.2%
Bid / ask / mid0.2¢ / 0.3¢ / 0.3¢
Spread0.1¢ (40.0%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-0.20pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$156
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$348 / $95
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.7 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.1σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.12
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.02pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 81d 21h.

Time to resolve81d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth