← Explore · Market 1129902

Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

0.5% implied · bid 0.4¢ · ask 0.7¢

The market prices this at 0.7%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability0.7%

Bid / ask / mid0.4¢ / 0.7¢ / 0.5¢

Spread0.3¢ (54.5%)

Change 24h+0.25pt

Change 7d+0.10pt

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,434

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$29 / $690

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score48.9 / 100

RSI 87 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.8σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.83

RSI (14, hourly)87.5

Realized vol 7d0.04pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 35d 22h.

Time to resolve35d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%