← Explore · Market 1129902
Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
1.8% implied · bid 1.8¢ · ask 1.9¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 1.8%, down 0.3pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability1.8%
Bid / ask / mid1.8¢ / 1.9¢ / 1.8¢
Spread0.1¢ (5.4%)
Change 24h-0.35pt
Change 7d-0.90pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$18
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$140 / $353
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.96
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.12pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 81d 21h.
Time to resolve81d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%