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← Explore · Market 1130012

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

54.5% implied · bid 54.0¢ · ask 55.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 54.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability54.0%
Bid / ask / mid54.0¢ / 55.0¢ / 54.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.8%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-2.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$17,701
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$60,232 / $111,331
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score95.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.51
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.40pt
Change 1h-0.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 81d 21h.

Time to resolve81d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth