← Explore · Market 1130012
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
54.5% implied · bid 54.0¢ · ask 55.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 54.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability54.0%
Bid / ask / mid54.0¢ / 55.0¢ / 54.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.8%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-2.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$17,701
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$60,232 / $111,331
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score95.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.51
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.40pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 81d 21h.
Time to resolve81d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%