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← Explore · Market 1130013

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

1.7% implied · bid 1.6¢ · ask 1.7¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 1.6%, down 0.4pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability1.6%
Bid / ask / mid1.6¢ / 1.7¢ / 1.7¢
Spread0.1¢ (6.1%)
Change 24h-0.40pt
Change 7d-0.15pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,365
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,841 / $1,088
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score51.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.48
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.27pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 81d 21h.

Time to resolve81d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth