← Explore · Market 1130015

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

5.3% implied · bid 5.2¢ · ask 5.3¢

The market prices this at 5.2%, down 0.3pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability5.2%

Bid / ask / mid5.2¢ / 5.3¢ / 5.3¢

Spread0.1¢ (1.9%)

Change 24h-0.25pt

Change 7d-0.50pt

Moderately liquid (score 54/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$33,865

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$7,113 / $1,332

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)3

Liquidity score53.7 / 100

RSI 55 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.56

RSI (14, hourly)55.0

Realized vol 7d0.16pt

Change 1h+0.10pt

Resolves in 35d 23h.

Time to resolve35d 23h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%