a Refacto tool
AdvertisementYour banner here · 728 × 90 · ads@refacto.app

← Explore · Market 1130015

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

3.8% implied · bid 3.7¢ · ask 3.8¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 3.8%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability3.8%
Bid / ask / mid3.7¢ / 3.8¢ / 3.8¢
Spread0.1¢ (2.7%)
Change 24h+0.10pt
Change 7d-2.70pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 53/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,106
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,364 / $3,915
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score53.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.24pt
Change 1h+0.05pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 81d 21h.

Time to resolve81d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth