← Explore · Market 1130015
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
3.8% implied · bid 3.7¢ · ask 3.8¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 3.8%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability3.8%
Bid / ask / mid3.7¢ / 3.8¢ / 3.8¢
Spread0.1¢ (2.7%)
Change 24h+0.10pt
Change 7d-2.70pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 53/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,106
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,364 / $3,915
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score53.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.24pt
Change 1h+0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 81d 21h.
Time to resolve81d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%