← Explore · Market 1130016
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
22.1% implied · bid 22.0¢ · ask 22.3¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 22.4%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.
Implied probability22.4%
Bid / ask / mid22.0¢ / 22.3¢ / 22.1¢
Spread0.3¢ (1.4%)
Change 24h-0.45pt
Change 7d+5.20pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 54/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$39,862
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4,254 / $7,597
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)4
Liquidity score54.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 36 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.38
RSI (14, hourly)36.0
Realized vol 7d0.52pt
Change 1h-0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 35d 23h.
Time to resolve35d 23h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%