← Explore · Market 1130016

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

39.6% implied · bid 39.4¢ · ask 39.9¢

The market prices this at 39.1%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 0.5¢ spread.

Implied probability39.1%

Bid / ask / mid39.4¢ / 39.9¢ / 39.6¢

Spread0.5¢ (1.3%)

Change 24h+0.50pt

Change 7d+5.90pt

Moderately liquid (score 60/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,718

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,933 / $21,541

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score60.2 / 100

RSI 58 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.93

RSI (14, hourly)58.3

Realized vol 7d0.61pt

Change 1h+0.10pt

Resolves in 81d 21h.

Time to resolve81d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%