← Explore · Market 1144471

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

6.8% implied · bid 6.7¢ · ask 6.8¢

The market prices this at 6.8%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability6.8%

Bid / ask / mid6.7¢ / 6.8¢ / 6.8¢

Spread0.1¢ (1.5%)

Change 24h-0.10pt

Change 7d+0.40pt

Moderately liquid (score 53/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$51,089

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,360 / $3,907

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score53.1 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.54

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d0.07pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 175d 2h.

Time to resolve175d 2h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%