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← Explore · Market 1163699

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

39.5% implied · bid 39.0¢ · ask 40.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 40.0%, down 5.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability40.0%
Bid / ask / mid39.0¢ / 40.0¢ / 39.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.5%)
Change 24h-5.00pt
Change 7d-0.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 9% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$13,370
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,347 / $1,307
Imbalance9% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score47.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 8 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.60
RSI (14, hourly)8.3
Realized vol 7d1.03pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 175d 2h.

Time to resolve175d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth