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← Explore · Market 1167926

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

13.1% implied · bid 10.0¢ · ask 16.2¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.1%, up 5.1pt over 24h, on a 6.2¢ spread.

Implied probability0.1%
Bid / ask / mid10.0¢ / 16.2¢ / 13.1¢
Spread6.2¢ (47.3%)
Change 24h+5.10pt
Change 7d+6.60pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 19/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,214
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6 / $21
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score19.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 58 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 5.5σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-5.52
RSI (14, hourly)57.6
Realized vol 7d1.50pt
Change 1h-0.15pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 175d 2h.

Time to resolve175d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth