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← Explore · Market 1193093

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

9.5% implied · bid 9.0¢ · ask 10.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 10.0%, up 3.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability10.0%
Bid / ask / mid9.0¢ / 10.0¢ / 9.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (10.5%)
Change 24h+3.00pt
Change 7d-3.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$13,909
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,155 / $1,266
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.7 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.04
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.49pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 18d 22h.

Time to resolve18d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth