← Explore · Market 1193093
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
9.5% implied · bid 9.0¢ · ask 10.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 10.0%, up 3.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability10.0%
Bid / ask / mid9.0¢ / 10.0¢ / 9.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (10.5%)
Change 24h+3.00pt
Change 7d-3.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$13,909
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,155 / $1,266
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.04
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.49pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 18d 22h.
Time to resolve18d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%