← Explore · Market 1193093
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
20.0% implied · bid 19.0¢ · ask 21.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 19.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability19.0%
Bid / ask / mid19.0¢ / 21.0¢ / 20.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (10.0%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-2.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$4
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$447 / $1,073
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.46
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.35pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 64d 21h.
Time to resolve64d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%