← Explore · Market 1193094
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
74.5% implied · bid 74.0¢ · ask 75.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 74.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability74.0%
Bid / ask / mid74.0¢ / 75.0¢ / 74.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.3%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d+1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 18% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$554
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,300 / $2,938
Imbalance18% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.13
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.09pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 64d 21h.
Time to resolve64d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%