← Explore · Market 1193094
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
90.5% implied · bid 90.0¢ · ask 91.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 91.0%, down 2.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability91.0%
Bid / ask / mid90.0¢ / 91.0¢ / 90.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.1%)
Change 24h-2.50pt
Change 7d+5.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 64/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 52% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$28,058
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$14,699 / $22,781
Imbalance52% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score63.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 75 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.14
RSI (14, hourly)75.0
Realized vol 7d0.41pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 18d 22h.
Time to resolve18d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%