← Explore · Market 1193095
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
1.9% implied · bid 1.8¢ · ask 2.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 1.9%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.
Implied probability1.9%
Bid / ask / mid1.8¢ / 2.0¢ / 1.9¢
Spread0.2¢ (10.5%)
Change 24h-0.05pt
Change 7d-0.05pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$203
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$283 / $226
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 33 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.99
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d0.01pt
Change 1h-0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 64d 21h.
Time to resolve64d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%