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← Explore · Market 1193096

Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

0.4% implied · bid 0.3¢ · ask 0.5¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.3%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability0.3%
Bid / ask / mid0.3¢ / 0.5¢ / 0.4¢
Spread0.2¢ (50.0%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,393
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$222 / $150
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 383168477793601.9σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-383168477793601.94
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 64d 21h.

Time to resolve64d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth