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← Explore · Market 1193096

Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

0.3% implied · bid 0.2¢ · ask 0.3¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.3%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.3%
Bid / ask / mid0.2¢ / 0.3¢ / 0.3¢
Spread0.1¢ (40.0%)
Change 24h-0.05pt
Change 7d-0.95pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$10,590
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$273 / $535
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.9 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.06
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.05pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 18d 22h.

Time to resolve18d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth