← Explore · Market 1231857
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?
50.5% implied · bid 49.0¢ · ask 52.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 44.0%, up 9.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability44.0%
Bid / ask / mid49.0¢ / 52.0¢ / 50.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (5.9%)
Change 24h+9.00pt
Change 7d+16.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$316
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$89 / $5
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.28
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.68pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 21h.
Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%