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← Explore · Market 1237121

Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%?

20.3% implied · bid 19.9¢ · ask 20.8¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 20.8%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.

Implied probability20.8%
Bid / ask / mid19.9¢ / 20.8¢ / 20.3¢
Spread0.9¢ (4.4%)
Change 24h+0.10pt
Change 7d+5.60pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$10
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$88 / $143
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 62 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.18
RSI (14, hourly)62.0
Realized vol 7d0.80pt
Change 1h+0.15pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 146d 22h.

Time to resolve146d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth