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Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?

4.5% implied · bid 3.2¢ · ask 5.9¢

The market prices this at 4.8%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 2.7¢ spread.

Implied probability4.8%

Bid / ask / mid3.2¢ / 5.9¢ / 4.5¢

Spread2.7¢ (59.3%)

Change 24h-0.50pt

Change 7d-1.55pt

Thin (score 37/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$26 / $16

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score36.5 / 100

RSI 56 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.76

RSI (14, hourly)55.9

Realized vol 7d0.54pt

Change 1h+0.95pt

Resolves in 139d 22h.

Time to resolve139d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%