← Explore · Market 1243900
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?
23.3% implied · bid 23.0¢ · ask 23.6¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 22.6%, down 1.6pt over 24h, on a 0.6¢ spread.
Implied probability22.6%
Bid / ask / mid23.0¢ / 23.6¢ / 23.3¢
Spread0.6¢ (2.6%)
Change 24h-1.60pt
Change 7d-0.65pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$460
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$72 / $47
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 47 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.55
RSI (14, hourly)47.3
Realized vol 7d0.88pt
Change 1h+0.15pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 139d 22h.
Time to resolve139d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%