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← Explore · Market 1243901

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?

50.2% implied · bid 50.2¢ · ask 50.3¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 51.0%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability51.0%
Bid / ask / mid50.2¢ / 50.3¢ / 50.2¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.2%)
Change 24h-0.10pt
Change 7d+3.20pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$320 / $253
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.8 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.66
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.89pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 139d 22h.

Time to resolve139d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth