← Explore · Market 1243902
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?
20.8% implied · bid 19.6¢ · ask 21.9¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 17.2%, up 4.5pt over 24h, on a 2.3¢ spread.
Implied probability17.2%
Bid / ask / mid19.6¢ / 21.9¢ / 20.8¢
Spread2.3¢ (11.1%)
Change 24h+4.50pt
Change 7d+0.65pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 39/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$102 / $130
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score38.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 44 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.06
RSI (14, hourly)43.8
Realized vol 7d1.22pt
Change 1h+0.10pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 139d 22h.
Time to resolve139d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%