← Explore · Market 1250462
Will South African inflation be between 4.1% and 4.4% in 2026?
12.0% implied · bid 10.5¢ · ask 13.6¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 27.0%, down 16.0pt over 24h, on a 3.1¢ spread.
Implied probability27.0%
Bid / ask / mid10.5¢ / 13.6¢ / 12.0¢
Spread3.1¢ (25.7%)
Change 24h-15.95pt
Change 7d-17.60pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$557
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5 / $50
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score34.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 29 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.10
RSI (14, hourly)28.6
Realized vol 7d1.06pt
Change 1h-0.20pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 147d 22h.
Time to resolve147d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%