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← Explore · Market 1250463

Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?

21.5% implied · bid 20.9¢ · ask 22.1¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 22.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.2¢ spread.

Implied probability22.0%
Bid / ask / mid20.9¢ / 22.1¢ / 21.5¢
Spread1.2¢ (5.6%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-0.55pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 44/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$167 / $228
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score44.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.77
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.10pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 147d 22h.

Time to resolve147d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth