← Explore · Market 1250464
Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026?
20.8% implied · bid 13.1¢ · ask 28.4¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 10.9%, up 11.5pt over 24h, on a 15.3¢ spread.
Implied probability10.9%
Bid / ask / mid13.1¢ / 28.4¢ / 20.8¢
Spread15.3¢ (73.7%)
Change 24h+11.50pt
Change 7d+11.60pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$416
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 20 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.32
RSI (14, hourly)20.2
Realized vol 7d1.11pt
Change 1h-0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 147d 22h.
Time to resolve147d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%