← Explore · Market 1250465
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?
18.8% implied · bid 18.6¢ · ask 18.9¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 18.7%, up 10.1pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.
Implied probability18.7%
Bid / ask / mid18.6¢ / 18.9¢ / 18.8¢
Spread0.3¢ (1.6%)
Change 24h+10.10pt
Change 7d+9.90pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$684
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$47 / $85
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score48.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.1σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean3.06
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.78pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 147d 22h.
Time to resolve147d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%